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Fantasy Premier League: Unlocking the Secrets to a Top 1% Finish
Fantasy Premier League: Unlocking the Secrets to a Top 1% Finish
Fantasy Premier League: Unlocking the Secrets to a Top 1% Finish by Toby Margetts & Gianni Butticé
Fantasy Premier League has become more than a game. It’s a phenomenon. With well over 6,000,000 players expected to sign up for the 2019/20 season and around 24 septillion possible lineups, there are untold subtleties that separate 99% of players from the elite 1% who consistently occupy the top of the overall rankings, not to mention taking home the prize pots and bragging rights at the end of each season.
This book will show you how to join that 1%. FPL veterans and perennial top 1% finishers Toby and Gianni share everything they’ve learned from over 10 years of FPL graft – from pre-season scouting to the final sprint, unveiling the patterns and habits that only the best exhibit. It’s an invaluable manual of data, managerial nous and the all-too-familiar learnings of despair and heartbreak, neatly packaged up to power your team to the top.
Armed with this unprecedented knowledge and know-how, you’ll have an enormous edge over anyone you come up against. This book is not a guide to how to play Fantasy Premier League – it’s how to win.
Fantasy Premier League: Unlocking the Secrets to a Top 1% Finish by Toby Margetts & Gianni Butticé
Fantasy Premier League has become more than a game. It’s a phenomenon. With well over 6,000,000 players expected to sign up for the 2019/20 season and around 24 septillion possible lineups, there are untold subtleties that separate 99% of players from the elite 1% who consistently occupy the top of the overall rankings, not to mention taking home the prize pots and bragging rights at the end of each season.
This book will show you how to join that 1%. FPL veterans and perennial top 1% finishers Toby and Gianni share everything they’ve learned from over 10 years of FPL graft – from pre-season scouting to the final sprint, unveiling the patterns and habits that only the best exhibit. It’s an invaluable manual of data, managerial nous and the all-too-familiar learnings of despair and heartbreak, neatly packaged up to power your team to the top.
Armed with this unprecedented knowledge and know-how, you’ll have an enormous edge over anyone you come up against. This book is not a guide to how to play Fantasy Premier League – it’s how to win.
EXTRACT:
For 99% of FPL players, the season starts in early August, a couple of weeks before the actual Premier League starts. A work email with the code to join the new league does the rounds, or a group WhatsApp asking if “anyone’s up for it this year?” hits your phone. Sound familiar?
But the fact is, any serious FPL player begins preparations the minute players report for pre-season. Who’s been training well? What formations are managers using in friendlies? Will that Brazilian starlet make his much-anticipated transfer to the Premier League? If players are coming off the back of a major tournament, how did they do? Will they carry that form (or lack of it) into the new season? These are all legitimate questions and the answers can only be found by scouting effectively. Doing so will only have a positive impact on the decisions you’ll make in the lead-up to gameweek (GW) 1.
How to scout effectively
We live in an age of unprecedented access to data analytics and statistics. For example, a quick Google can reveal the number of dangerous attacks Ha Noi had against Dong Thap in the first half of the Under-19 Championship in Vietnam (it was 34). Pretty obscure stuff. With that in mind, pre-season friendlies are the perfect opportunity to gain some serious insight that will help you prepare for GW1. Watching the games is best, but if you can’t find a stream then simply looking at the post-game statistics will give you a good idea of what transpired.
Here's what you should be looking out for:
Goals and assists
The FPL attacking currency is goals and assists. A player that’s regularly on the scoresheet or providing a bucket-load of assists – even in pre-season – could well take that form into the main event. Even better if the player is lesser-known, they are likely to be cheap and represent a solid ‘differential’ (a player that few others own and so add points to your total, but not theirs).
Formations and tactical tweaks
Playing three at the back in the Premier League has become more fashionable in recent years and has given rise to a number of players who are listed as defenders but, in reality, function as wingers in their respective teams. Kieran Trippier, Matt Doherty, Enda Stevens (even when playing in a back four) are good examples of these ‘out of position’ players (see below). As a result of a tactical development, the potential for these players to score goals and make assists increased. Savvy FPL managers would have noticed this formation shift during pre-season fixtures and loaded their team accordingly.
Conversely, those that noticed the shift after GW1 were forced to use transfers, suffer points deductions or even use an early Wildcard to make amends. These problems could be easily avoided with a little due diligence during pre-season.
Players playing out of position (OOP)
Many FPL managers naively assume they know what position a player plays and what their role will be. Now we’re not suggesting Sergio Agüero will play left back anytime soon, but it’s not unheard of to see high-profile players playing in unexpected positions. These kinds of players are often referred to as ‘out of position’ or ‘OOP’ for short. OOPs can be both positive and negative – for the positive, take two of Liverpool’s front three, Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mané, who are both listed as midfielders and so score a point more than a ‘forward’ for each goal and get one point should Liverpool keep a clean sheet.
On the negative side, take the conversion of wingers to full-backs – for example, Ashley Young has only been listed as a defender since the 2019/20 season despite playing as one for several seasons, meaning he would not have been rewarded for clean sheets during that time and was also far less of a goal and assist threat.
With new managers given free rein to implement their own styles more than ever, it’s worth keeping an eye on the role that your pre-season targets are playing for their side. And if you know a manager is going to radically overhaul the playing style of a club, then it’s definitely worth doing your homework.